PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Botafogo 1–2 Bahia · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Bahia

LWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 1–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.882.78
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Botafogo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Bahia): shots 16–10, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.88–2.78, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo have a visible home split

weak

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsBotafogo 16 shots, Bahia 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsBotafogo 5 shots, Bahia 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG2.78 xGBotafogo 0.88 xG, Bahia 2.78 xG
  • Possession55%45%Botafogo 55%, Bahia 45%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerBotafogo 5 corners, Bahia 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsBotafogo 10 fouls, Bahia 5 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Botafogo
0Draws
0Bahia
Botafogo — Bahia · Serie A3–0
Bahia — Botafogo · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo5 matchesBahia5 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.65 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 13 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.8 shots/match
49.6%Possession5/5● 50%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners5/53.8 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 May 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoBahia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headBotafogo — Bahia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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