PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Fortaleza 1–1 Botafogo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza and Botafogo drew 1–1.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.610.58
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza and Botafogo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Botafogo): shots 10–11, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.61–0.58, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo have a visible away split

weak

Botafogo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match11.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Botafogo have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.8%PossessionFortaleza · Botafogo● 50.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFortalezaBotafogoBaseline
Possession37.8%50.8%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsFortaleza 10 shots, Botafogo 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsFortaleza 4 shots, Botafogo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.61 xG0.58 xGFortaleza 0.61 xG, Botafogo 0.58 xG
  • Possession43%57%Fortaleza 43%, Botafogo 57%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFortaleza 6 corners, Botafogo 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls19 foulsFortaleza 12 fouls, Botafogo 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza
1Draws
3Botafogo
Fortaleza — Botafogo · Serie A2–2
Botafogo — Fortaleza · Serie A2–0
Fortaleza — Botafogo · Serie A1–3
Botafogo — Fortaleza · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza5 matchesBotafogo6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/6▲ 2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/61.17 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲ 1.37 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/611.3 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲ 4.33 shots/match
37.8%Possession5/6● 50.8%
6.8 corners/match ●Corners5/64.83 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/615 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headFortaleza — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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