Serie A · 2024

Flamengo 2–1 Cruzeiro · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.570.63
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Cruzeiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Cruzeiro): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.57–0.63, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Flamengo, Cruzeiro.

3.94 days ▲Rest daysFlamengo · Cruzeiro3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFlamengoCruzeiroBaseline
Rest days3.94 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cruzeiro have a visible away split

moderate

Cruzeiro's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsFlamengo 7 shots, Cruzeiro 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsFlamengo 3 shots, Cruzeiro 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG0.63 xGFlamengo 0.57 xG, Cruzeiro 0.63 xG
  • Possession46%54%Flamengo 46%, Cruzeiro 54%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersFlamengo 2 corners, Cruzeiro 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls17 foulsFlamengo 5 fouls, Cruzeiro 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
1Draws
0Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Flamengo · Serie A0–2
Flamengo — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo13 matchesCruzeiro12 matches
1.69 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/121.33 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/121.33 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/121 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots13/1213 shots/match
5.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/124.5 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession13/1249%
6.62 corners/match ●Corners13/125.17 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Jul 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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