Serie A · 2024

Atlético Mineiro 2–4 Flamengo · Serie A

2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–4.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
2.392.13
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Atlético Mineiro 4–2. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Flamengo): shots 11–14, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 2.39–2.13, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Mineiro, Flamengo.

3.44 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Mineiro · Flamengo3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MineiroFlamengoBaseline
Rest days3.44 days3.12 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Flamengo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.69 corners/matchCornersAtlético Mineiro · Flamengo● 6.43 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroFlamengoBaseline
Corners5.69 corners/match6.43 corners/match4.93 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsAtlético Mineiro 11 shots, Flamengo 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsAtlético Mineiro 4 shots, Flamengo 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG2.13 xGAtlético Mineiro 2.39 xG, Flamengo 2.13 xG
  • Possession52%48%Atlético Mineiro 52%, Flamengo 48%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAtlético Mineiro 4 corners, Flamengo 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsAtlético Mineiro 12 fouls, Flamengo 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
2Flamengo
Flamengo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–3
Atlético Mineiro — Flamengo · Serie A1–2
Flamengo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–0
Atlético Mineiro — Flamengo · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro13 matchesFlamengo14 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲ 1 goal/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲ 1.42 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots13/1414.3 shots/match
5.08 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 5.64 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession13/1452.1%
5.69 corners/matchCorners13/14● 6.43 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1410.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 4 Jul 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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