Serie A · 2024

Criciúma 1–0 Cruzeiro · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 1–0.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.591.08
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Cruzeiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Cruzeiro): shots 13–17, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.59–1.08, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Criciúma, Cruzeiro.

3.06 days ▲Rest daysCriciúma · Cruzeiro3.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCriciúmaCruzeiroBaseline
Rest days3.06 days3.06 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cruzeiro's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cruzeiro show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cruzeiro's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCriciúma · Cruzeiro13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaCruzeiroBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsCriciúma 13 shots, Cruzeiro 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsCriciúma 6 shots, Cruzeiro 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG1.08 xGCriciúma 1.59 xG, Cruzeiro 1.08 xG
  • Possession35%65%Criciúma 35%, Cruzeiro 65%
  • Corners7 corners10 cornersCriciúma 7 corners, Cruzeiro 10 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsCriciúma 11 fouls, Cruzeiro 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma12 matchesCruzeiro13 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/131.23 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/131 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1313.3 shots/match
5.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/134.62 shots/match
42%Possession12/13● 50.2%
3.67 corners/matchCorners12/13● 5.54 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1311.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 4 Jul 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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