PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bahia 2–0 Juventude · Serie A

Bahia

DLWWL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 2–0.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
1.860.65
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Juventude 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Juventude): shots 22–10, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 1.86–0.65, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bahia, Juventude.

4.12 days ▲Rest daysBahia · Juventude4.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBahiaJuventudeBaseline
Rest days4.12 days4.12 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsBahia 22 shots, Juventude 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsBahia 9 shots, Juventude 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG0.65 xGBahia 1.86 xG, Juventude 0.65 xG
  • Possession57%43%Bahia 57%, Juventude 43%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersBahia 6 corners, Juventude 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsBahia 15 fouls, Juventude 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia14 matchesJuventude13 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/131.15 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/131.46 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/131.23 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots14/1313.2 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/134.46 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession14/1350.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners14/13● 4.54 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1312.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 5 Jul 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaJuventude
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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