PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Corinthians 3–2 Vitória · Serie A

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 3–2.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.661.92
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Vitória 3–2. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Vitória): shots 14–18, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.66–1.92, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Corinthians, Vitória.

3 days ▲Rest daysCorinthians · Vitória4.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCorinthiansVitóriaBaseline
Rest days3 days4.06 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsCorinthians 14 shots, Vitória 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsCorinthians 5 shots, Vitória 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.92 xGCorinthians 0.66 xG, Vitória 1.92 xG
  • Possession44%56%Corinthians 44%, Vitória 56%
  • Corners9 corners9 cornersCorinthians 9 corners, Vitória 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsCorinthians 15 fouls, Vitória 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians14 matchesVitória14 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.64 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.04 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412.3 shots/match
4.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.57 shots/match
49% ●Possession14/1443.1%
6 corners/match ●Corners14/144.07 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 5 Jul 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansVitória
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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