PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 2–1 Criciúma · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 2–1.

Shots
913
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.650.96
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Criciúma 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Criciúma): shots 9–13, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.65–0.96, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vitória, Criciúma.

2.94 days ▲Rest daysVitória · Criciúma3.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVitóriaCriciúmaBaseline
Rest days2.94 days3.94 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsVitória 9 shots, Criciúma 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsVitória 3 shots, Criciúma 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.96 xGVitória 1.65 xG, Criciúma 0.96 xG
  • Possession45%55%Vitória 45%, Criciúma 55%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersVitória 6 corners, Criciúma 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsVitória 12 fouls, Criciúma 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
2Criciúma
Criciúma — Vitória · Serie B1–0
Vitória — Criciúma · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória15 matchesCriciúma13 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/131.62 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals15/13▲ 1.31 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots15/13▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target15/13▲ 4.92 shots/match
43.3% ●Possession15/1343%
4.2 corners/match ●Corners15/133.62 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls15/1313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 Jul 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaCriciúma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headVitória — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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