PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 2–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 2–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.410.82
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Red Bull Bragantino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.41–0.82, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cruzeiro, Red Bull Bragantino.

2.9 days ▲Rest daysCruzeiro · Red Bull Bragantino6.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCruzeiroRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Rest days2.9 days6.83 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsCruzeiro 10 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCruzeiro 4 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG0.82 xGCruzeiro 1.41 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.82 xG
  • Possession53%47%Cruzeiro 53%, Red Bull Bragantino 47%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersCruzeiro 1 corner, Red Bull Bragantino 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsCruzeiro 11 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
1Draws
0Red Bull Bragantino
Cruzeiro — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A0–0
Red Bull Bragantino — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro16 matchesRed Bull Bragantino16 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.31 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.25 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/160.96 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots16/1613.4 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target16/164.5 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession16/1648.8%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners16/165.06 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jul 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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