PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 0–1 Botafogo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–1.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.022.35
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Vitória 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Botafogo): shots 11–15, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.02–2.35, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vitória, Botafogo.

4.12 days ▲Rest daysVitória · Botafogo4.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVitóriaBotafogoBaseline
Rest days4.12 days4.04 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Botafogo have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%PossessionVitória · Botafogo● 51.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVitóriaBotafogoBaseline
Possession43.4%51.9%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsVitória 11 shots, Botafogo 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsVitória 5 shots, Botafogo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG2.35 xGVitória 1.02 xG, Botafogo 2.35 xG
  • Possession46%54%Vitória 46%, Botafogo 54%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersVitória 4 corners, Botafogo 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls24 foulsVitória 16 fouls, Botafogo 24 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória16 matchesBotafogo16 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.69 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.15 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots16/1612.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.25 shots/match
43.4%Possession16/16● 51.9%
4.19 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.56 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1616.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Jul 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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