PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bahia 1–2 Cuiabá · Serie A

Bahia

WLWLW
1–2Historical match

Cuiabá

DDDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 1–2.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.921.17
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Bahia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Cuiabá): shots 14–14, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.92–1.17, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bahia, Cuiabá.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysBahia · Cuiabá6.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBahiaCuiabáBaseline
Rest days2.88 days6.83 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9% ●PossessionBahia · Cuiabá41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBahiaCuiabáBaseline
Possession54.9%41.7%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsBahia 14 shots, Cuiabá 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBahia 2 shots, Cuiabá 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.17 xGBahia 0.92 xG, Cuiabá 1.17 xG
  • Possession64%36%Bahia 64%, Cuiabá 36%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersBahia 8 corners, Cuiabá 4 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls8 foulsBahia 4 fouls, Cuiabá 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
1Draws
1Cuiabá
Bahia — Cuiabá · Serie A0–3
Cuiabá — Bahia · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia17 matchesCuiabá16 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/161.13 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/161.31 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/161.05 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots17/1610.5 shots/match
4.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/163.56 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession17/1641.7%
4.47 corners/match ●Corners17/163.38 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jul 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headBahia — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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