PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Fortaleza 1–0 Criciúma · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 1–0.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.90.93
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Criciúma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Criciúma): shots 16–12, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.9–0.93, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsFortaleza 16 shots, Criciúma 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsFortaleza 4 shots, Criciúma 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.93 xGFortaleza 1.9 xG, Criciúma 0.93 xG
  • Possession50%50%Fortaleza 50%, Criciúma 50%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersFortaleza 4 corners, Criciúma 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsFortaleza 16 fouls, Criciúma 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza
1Draws
0Criciúma
Criciúma — Fortaleza · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza21 matchesCriciúma20 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored21/20▲ 1.4 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/201.5 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals21/201.26 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 4.85 shots/match
41.9%Possession21/20● 42.5%
5.05 corners/match ●Corners21/204 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2013.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCriciúma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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