PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cuiabá 1–3 Grêmio · Serie A

Cuiabá

DWLLL
1–3Historical match

Grêmio

LWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio won 1–3.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.511.36
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Grêmio beat Cuiabá 3–1. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Grêmio): shots 15–10, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.51–1.36, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Grêmio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1 goal/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsCuiabá 15 shots, Grêmio 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCuiabá 3 shots, Grêmio 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG1.36 xGCuiabá 0.51 xG, Grêmio 1.36 xG
  • Possession61%39%Cuiabá 61%, Grêmio 39%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCuiabá 5 corners, Grêmio 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsCuiabá 15 fouls, Grêmio 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cuiabá
0Draws
3Grêmio
Grêmio — Cuiabá · Serie A1–0
Grêmio — Cuiabá · Serie A2–0
Cuiabá — Grêmio · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá20 matchesGrêmio20 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored20/201 goal/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.11 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots20/2012.1 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.45 shots/match
43.9%Possession20/20● 47.1%
4.1 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.3 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Aug 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCuiabá — Grêmio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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