PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fluminense · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 2–0.

Shots
812
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.220.85
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat Fluminense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Fluminense): shots 8–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.22–0.85, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.5%PossessionVasco da Gama · Fluminense● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaFluminenseBaseline
Possession47.5%56.3%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsVasco da Gama 8 shots, Fluminense 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsVasco da Gama 3 shots, Fluminense 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG0.85 xGVasco da Gama 1.22 xG, Fluminense 0.85 xG
  • Possession43%57%Vasco da Gama 43%, Fluminense 57%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersVasco da Gama 6 corners, Fluminense 3 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls12 foulsVasco da Gama 23 fouls, Fluminense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vasco da Gama
1Draws
1Fluminense
Fluminense — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–1
Vasco da Gama — Fluminense · Serie A4–2
Fluminense — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama21 matchesFluminense21 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.76 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.89 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.1 shots/match
47.5%Possession21/21● 56.3%
4.1 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.24 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Aug 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headVasco da Gama — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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