PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vasco da Gama 2–2 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama and Red Bull Bragantino drew 2–2.

Shots
117
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.751.38
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama and Red Bull Bragantino drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 11–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.75–1.38, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsVasco da Gama 11 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsVasco da Gama 3 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.38 xGVasco da Gama 0.75 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.38 xG
  • Possession64%36%Vasco da Gama 64%, Red Bull Bragantino 36%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersVasco da Gama 4 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls18 foulsVasco da Gama 8 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vasco da Gama
1Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–1
Vasco da Gama — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama20 matchesRed Bull Bragantino19 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/19▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed20/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/190.95 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots20/19▲ 13 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target20/19▲ 4.21 shots/match
47.7%Possession20/19● 47.9%
4 corners/matchCorners20/19● 4.79 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls20/1913.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Aug 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headVasco da Gama — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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