PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Grêmio 1–2 Criciúma · Serie A

Grêmio

LWLDW
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 1–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.670.8
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Grêmio 2–1. Recorded in this match (Grêmio – Criciúma): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.67–0.8, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Grêmio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Grêmio, Criciúma.

3.02 days ▲Rest daysGrêmio · Criciúma2.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGrêmioCriciúmaBaseline
Rest days3.02 days2.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsGrêmio 15 shots, Criciúma 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsGrêmio 3 shots, Criciúma 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG0.8 xGGrêmio 1.67 xG, Criciúma 0.8 xG
  • Possession65%35%Grêmio 65%, Criciúma 35%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersGrêmio 6 corners, Criciúma 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsGrêmio 8 fouls, Criciúma 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Grêmio
0Draws
0Criciúma
Criciúma — Grêmio · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio26 matchesCriciúma27 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.52 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals26/271.17 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots26/27▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 4.78 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession26/2744.2%
5.31 corners/match ●Corners26/274.7 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 26 Sept 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGrêmioCriciúma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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