PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vasco da Gama 1–1 Juventude · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama and Juventude drew 1–1.

Shots
1617
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.241.55
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama and Juventude drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Juventude): shots 16–17, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.24–1.55, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots17 shotsVasco da Gama 16 shots, Juventude 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsVasco da Gama 3 shots, Juventude 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG1.55 xGVasco da Gama 1.24 xG, Juventude 1.55 xG
  • Possession54%46%Vasco da Gama 54%, Juventude 46%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersVasco da Gama 3 corners, Juventude 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsVasco da Gama 14 fouls, Juventude 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vasco da Gama
0Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama28 matchesJuventude29 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored28/291.14 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed28/291.34 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals28/29▲ 1.06 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots28/2912 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 4.17 shots/match
47.8%Possession28/29● 48.2%
4.32 corners/match ●Corners28/294.31 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2912.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaJuventude
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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