Serie A · 2024

Cuiabá 2–0 São Paulo · Serie A

Cuiabá

WDLDL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 2–0.

Shots
712
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.90.48
Possession
22%78%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat São Paulo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – São Paulo): shots 7–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.9–0.48, possession 22%–78%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiabá show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cuiabá's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsCuiabá · São Paulo13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCuiabáSão PauloBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionCuiabá · São Paulo● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCuiabáSão PauloBaseline
Possession43.1%57%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsCuiabá 7 shots, São Paulo 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCuiabá 3 shots, São Paulo 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG0.48 xGCuiabá 0.9 xG, São Paulo 0.48 xG
  • Possession22%78%Cuiabá 22%, São Paulo 78%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersCuiabá 3 corners, São Paulo 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsCuiabá 12 fouls, São Paulo 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cuiabá
2Draws
1São Paulo
São Paulo — Cuiabá · Serie A0–1
São Paulo — Cuiabá · Serie A0–0
Cuiabá — São Paulo · Serie A2–1
Cuiabá — São Paulo · Serie A1–1
São Paulo — Cuiabá · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá28 matchesSão Paulo29 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals28/29▲ 1.16 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots28/29▲ 13 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 4.59 shots/match
43.1%Possession28/29● 57%
3.93 corners/matchCorners28/29● 5.24 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2913 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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