PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Fortaleza 1–0 Cuiabá · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Cuiabá

LWDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 1–0.

Shots
152
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
0.790.05
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Cuiabá 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Cuiabá): shots 15–2, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 0.79–0.05, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots2 shotsFortaleza 15 shots, Cuiabá 2 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotFortaleza 6 shots, Cuiabá 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.79 xG0.05 xGFortaleza 0.79 xG, Cuiabá 0.05 xG
  • Possession54%46%Fortaleza 54%, Cuiabá 46%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersFortaleza 7 corners, Cuiabá 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls9 foulsFortaleza 18 fouls, Cuiabá 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fortaleza
0Draws
4Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Fortaleza · Serie A5–0
Cuiabá — Fortaleza · Serie A2–1
Fortaleza — Cuiabá · Serie A0–1
Cuiabá — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1
Fortaleza — Cuiabá · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza28 matchesCuiabá27 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/270.85 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/271.44 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/270.92 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots28/2711 shots/match
3.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/273.44 shots/match
41.9%Possession28/27● 43.9%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners28/273.96 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headFortaleza — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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