PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 1–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.811.17
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Vasco da Gama): shots 15–13, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.81–1.17, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsCruzeiro 15 shots, Vasco da Gama 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsCruzeiro 6 shots, Vasco da Gama 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.17 xGCruzeiro 0.81 xG, Vasco da Gama 1.17 xG
  • Possession56%44%Cruzeiro 56%, Vasco da Gama 44%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersCruzeiro 11 corners, Vasco da Gama 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls6 foulsCruzeiro 7 fouls, Vasco da Gama 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
2Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–0
Cruzeiro — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–2
Vasco da Gama — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro28 matchesVasco da Gama27 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/271.15 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed28/271.37 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals28/270.98 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots28/2711.6 shots/match
4.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/273.78 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession28/2747.5%
5.61 corners/match ●Corners28/274.37 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 30 Sept 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Vasco da Gama
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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