PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 1–0 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 1–0.

Shots
119
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.290.79
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Red Bull Bragantino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 11–9, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.29–0.79, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsVitória 11 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotVitória 3 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.29 xG0.79 xGVitória 1.29 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.79 xG
  • Possession50%50%Vitória 50%, Red Bull Bragantino 50%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersVitória 5 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsVitória 15 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Vitória · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória30 matchesRed Bull Bragantino30 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.13 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.03 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.47 shots/match
42.7%Possession30/30● 47.2%
4.53 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.97 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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