PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Red Bull Bragantino 0–1 Botafogo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–1.

Shots
619
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.151.31
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Red Bull Bragantino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Botafogo): shots 6–19, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.15–1.31, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots19 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 6 shots, Botafogo 19 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 1 shot, Botafogo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.15 xG1.31 xGRed Bull Bragantino 0.15 xG, Botafogo 1.31 xG
  • Possession38%62%Red Bull Bragantino 38%, Botafogo 62%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 3 corners, Botafogo 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 13 fouls, Botafogo 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Red Bull Bragantino
1Draws
4Botafogo
Botafogo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Botafogo · Serie A2–2
Botafogo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–0
Botafogo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Botafogo · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino31 matchesBotafogo31 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.47 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 5.45 shots/match
46.9%Possession31/31● 53%
4.9 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.74 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3116.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headRed Bull Bragantino — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required