PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Atlético Mineiro 1–3 Internacional · Serie A

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 1–3.

Shots
711
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.131.62
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Atlético Mineiro 3–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Internacional): shots 7–11, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.13–1.62, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots11 shotsAtlético Mineiro 7 shots, Internacional 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsAtlético Mineiro 3 shots, Internacional 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.62 xGAtlético Mineiro 1.13 xG, Internacional 1.62 xG
  • Possession58%42%Atlético Mineiro 58%, Internacional 42%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersAtlético Mineiro 3 corners, Internacional 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsAtlético Mineiro 15 fouls, Internacional 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
1Internacional
Internacional — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–2
Internacional — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–2
Atlético Mineiro — Internacional · Serie A2–0
Internacional — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A3–0
Atlético Mineiro — Internacional · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Internacional in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro30 matchesInternacional30 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.37 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals30/29▲ 1.6 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots30/2914.1 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target30/29▲ 5.21 shots/match
58.6% ●Possession30/2952%
4.77 corners/matchCorners30/29● 5 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls30/2915.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MineiroInternacional
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headAtlético Mineiro — Internacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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