PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Criciúma 1–1 São Paulo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma and São Paulo drew 1–1.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.720.81
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma and São Paulo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – São Paulo): shots 10–16, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.72–0.81, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%PossessionCriciúma · São Paulo● 57.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaSão PauloBaseline
Possession43.4%57.1%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsCriciúma 10 shots, São Paulo 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCriciúma 3 shots, São Paulo 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG0.81 xGCriciúma 0.72 xG, São Paulo 0.81 xG
  • Possession30%70%Criciúma 30%, São Paulo 70%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersCriciúma 6 corners, São Paulo 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsCriciúma 13 fouls, São Paulo 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Criciúma
0Draws
1São Paulo
São Paulo — Criciúma · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma31 matchesSão Paulo31 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.15 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots31/3113.1 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target31/314.58 shots/match
43.4%Possession31/31● 57.1%
4.58 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.23 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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