Serie A · 2024

Juventude 3–5 Palmeiras · Serie A

3–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 3–5.

Shots
2514
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
2.222.65
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Juventude 5–3. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Palmeiras): shots 25–14, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 2.22–2.65, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventude · Palmeiras17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventudePalmeirasBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match17.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots14 shotsJuventude 25 shots, Palmeiras 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsJuventude 6 shots, Palmeiras 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG2.65 xGJuventude 2.22 xG, Palmeiras 2.65 xG
  • Possession53%47%Juventude 53%, Palmeiras 47%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersJuventude 7 corners, Palmeiras 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsJuventude 15 fouls, Palmeiras 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
0Draws
3Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Juventude · Serie A3–1
Palmeiras — Juventude · Serie A2–1
Juventude — Palmeiras · Serie A0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude30 matchesPalmeiras30 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.81 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 17.5 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 5.83 shots/match
48.4%Possession30/30● 53.5%
4.4 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.63 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3014.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Oct 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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