Serie A · 2024

Flamengo 4–2 Juventude · Serie A

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 4–2.

Shots
205
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.530.62
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Juventude 4–2. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Juventude): shots 20–5, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.53–0.62, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Flamengo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Juventude12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoJuventudeBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots5 shotsFlamengo 20 shots, Juventude 5 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsFlamengo 10 shots, Juventude 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.53 xG0.62 xGFlamengo 2.53 xG, Juventude 0.62 xG
  • Possession74%26%Flamengo 74%, Juventude 26%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerFlamengo 8 corners, Juventude 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsFlamengo 8 fouls, Juventude 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
1Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — Flamengo · Serie A2–1
Juventude — Flamengo · Serie A2–2
Flamengo — Juventude · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo30 matchesJuventude31 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/311.23 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/311.55 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/311.09 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots30/3112.2 shots/match
5.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/314.19 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession30/3147.6%
6.03 corners/match ●Corners30/314.29 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3112.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Oct 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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