PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vasco da Gama 1–0 Cuiabá · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Cuiabá

LDLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 1–0.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.80.57
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat Cuiabá 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Cuiabá): shots 13–13, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.8–0.57, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsVasco da Gama 13 shots, Cuiabá 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsVasco da Gama 2 shots, Cuiabá 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG0.57 xGVasco da Gama 0.8 xG, Cuiabá 0.57 xG
  • Possession49%51%Vasco da Gama 49%, Cuiabá 51%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersVasco da Gama 3 corners, Cuiabá 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsVasco da Gama 16 fouls, Cuiabá 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vasco da Gama
0Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Vasco da Gama · Serie A0–2
Vasco da Gama — Cuiabá · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama30 matchesCuiabá30 matches
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.83 goals/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.33 goals/match
0.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/300.89 xG/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots30/3010.8 shots/match
3.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.27 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession30/3043.2%
4.3 corners/match ●Corners30/303.87 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3012 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headVasco da Gama — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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