PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 2–0 Fortaleza · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 2–0.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.740.59
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Fortaleza 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Fortaleza): shots 19–11, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.74–0.59, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vitória's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsVitória 19 shots, Fortaleza 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsVitória 8 shots, Fortaleza 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.74 xG0.59 xGVitória 2.74 xG, Fortaleza 0.59 xG
  • Possession29%71%Vitória 29%, Fortaleza 71%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersVitória 7 corners, Fortaleza 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsVitória 13 fouls, Fortaleza 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
1Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Vitória · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória36 matchesFortaleza36 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1 goal/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals36/361.15 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots36/3612.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target36/363.83 shots/match
42.1%Possession36/36● 42.7%
4.78 corners/match ●Corners36/364.69 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Dec 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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