Serie A · 2024

Atlético Goianiense 3–1 Fortaleza · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 3–1.

Shots
2712
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
1.971.57
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Fortaleza 3–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Fortaleza): shots 27–12, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 1.97–1.57, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Goianiense, Fortaleza.

4 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Goianiense · Fortaleza3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético GoianienseFortalezaBaseline
Rest days4 days3.12 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.78 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots12 shotsAtlético Goianiense 27 shots, Fortaleza 12 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsAtlético Goianiense 10 shots, Fortaleza 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG1.57 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.97 xG, Fortaleza 1.57 xG
  • Possession56%44%Atlético Goianiense 56%, Fortaleza 44%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAtlético Goianiense 5 corners, Fortaleza 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsAtlético Goianiense 13 fouls, Fortaleza 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Goianiense
1Draws
2Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A3–1
Fortaleza — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A1–1
Atlético Goianiense — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense37 matchesFortaleza37 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.51 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.16 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots37/3712.1 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/373.84 shots/match
46.9% ●Possession37/3742.8%
4.7 corners/match ●Corners37/374.65 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Dec 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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