PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 1–1 Grêmio · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Grêmio

DLDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória and Grêmio drew 1–1.

Shots
257
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.540.64
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória and Grêmio drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Grêmio): shots 25–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.54–0.64, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vitória, Grêmio.

3.06 days ▲Rest daysVitória · Grêmio3.17 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVitóriaGrêmioBaseline
Rest days3.06 days3.17 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots7 shotsVitória 25 shots, Grêmio 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsVitória 5 shots, Grêmio 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.64 xGVitória 1.54 xG, Grêmio 0.64 xG
  • Possession49%51%Vitória 49%, Grêmio 51%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerVitória 7 corners, Grêmio 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsVitória 13 fouls, Grêmio 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
1Grêmio
Grêmio — Vitória · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória37 matchesGrêmio37 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored37/371.19 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.17 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots37/3711.6 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 4.32 shots/match
42.3%Possession37/37● 46%
4.84 corners/matchCorners37/37● 5.16 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Dec 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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