Primera A · 2026

Internacional de Bogotá 1–2 Atlético Nacional · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Nacional won 1–2.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.081.24
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Nacional beat Internacional de Bogotá 2–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional de Bogotá – Atlético Nacional): shots 14–13, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.08–1.24, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional de Bogotá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional de Bogotá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Nacional have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Nacional's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsInternacional de Bogotá · Atlético Nacional15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInternacional de BogotáAtlético NacionalBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 14 shots, Atlético Nacional 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 4 shots, Atlético Nacional 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.24 xGInternacional de Bogotá 1.08 xG, Atlético Nacional 1.24 xG
  • Possession42%58%Internacional de Bogotá 42%, Atlético Nacional 58%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersInternacional de Bogotá 6 corners, Atlético Nacional 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsInternacional de Bogotá 10 fouls, Atlético Nacional 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Internacional de Bogotá
0Draws
1Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional — Internacional de Bogotá · Primera A3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Nacional in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá20 matchesAtlético Nacional20 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.85 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals15/20▲ 1.54 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 15.9 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.95 shots/match
46.4%Possession20/20● 56.1%
4.35 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.5 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/64 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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