PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Jaguares de Córdoba 1–0 Boyacá Chicó FC · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jaguares de Córdoba won 1–0.

Shots
913
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.781.23
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jaguares de Córdoba beat Boyacá Chicó FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Jaguares de Córdoba – Boyacá Chicó FC): shots 9–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.78–1.23, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Boyacá Chicó FC have a visible away split

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.15 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.77 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.15 shots/match9.77 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 9 shots, Boyacá Chicó FC 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 6 shots, Boyacá Chicó FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.23 xGJaguares de Córdoba 0.78 xG, Boyacá Chicó FC 1.23 xG
  • Possession43%57%Jaguares de Córdoba 43%, Boyacá Chicó FC 57%
  • Corners4 corners11 cornersJaguares de Córdoba 4 corners, Boyacá Chicó FC 11 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls9 foulsJaguares de Córdoba 19 fouls, Boyacá Chicó FC 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Jaguares de Córdoba
0Draws
1Boyacá Chicó FC
Boyacá Chicó FC — Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A5–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jaguares de Córdoba favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Boyacá Chicó FC in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jaguares de Córdoba24 matchesBoyacá Chicó FC22 matches
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/220.68 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/221.91 goals/match
0.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/200.79 xG/match
11.1 shots/match ▲Shots24/229.77 shots/match
3.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/223 shots/match
45.2%Possession24/22● 46.1%
3.92 corners/match ●Corners24/223.77 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards4/83.75 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2213.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJaguares de CórdobaBoyacá Chicó FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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