Primera A · 2026

Cúcuta Deportivo 1–0 Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cúcuta Deportivo won 1–0.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.31.69
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cúcuta Deportivo beat Alianza Valledupar FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cúcuta Deportivo – Alianza Valledupar FC): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.3–1.69, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cúcuta Deportivo.

2.99 days ▲Rest daysCúcuta Deportivo · Alianza Valledupar FC4.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCúcuta DeportivoAlianza Valledupar FCBaseline
Rest days2.99 days4.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cúcuta Deportivo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cúcuta Deportivo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cúcuta Deportivo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cúcuta Deportivo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.63 shots/match ▲ShotsCúcuta Deportivo · Alianza Valledupar FC11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCúcuta DeportivoAlianza Valledupar FCBaseline
Shots9.63 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match10.9 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 10 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 3 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.69 xGCúcuta Deportivo 1.3 xG, Alianza Valledupar FC 1.69 xG
  • Possession55%45%Cúcuta Deportivo 55%, Alianza Valledupar FC 45%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersCúcuta Deportivo 3 corners, Alianza Valledupar FC 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsCúcuta Deportivo 18 fouls, Alianza Valledupar FC 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cúcuta Deportivo
1Draws
0Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC — Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cúcuta Deportivo favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cúcuta Deportivo25 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC24 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/240.71 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed25/24▲ 1.42 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals20/200.92 xG/match
9.63 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 11.5 shots/match
3.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/242.92 shots/match
46.5% ●Possession24/2446%
3.88 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.25 corners/match
4.14 cards/matchCards7/54.6 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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