PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Beijing Guoan 3–1 Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Beijing Guoan won 3–1.

Shots
1018
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.731.79
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Beijing Guoan beat Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 3–1. Recorded in this match (Beijing Guoan – Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang): shots 10–18, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.73–1.79, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Beijing Guoan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Beijing Guoan's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match13 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsBeijing Guoan · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeijing GuoanHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Beijing Guoan have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.9% ●PossessionBeijing Guoan · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang46.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBeijing GuoanHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Possession58.9%46.3%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots18 shotsBeijing Guoan 10 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 18 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBeijing Guoan 6 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.79 xGBeijing Guoan 1.73 xG, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1.79 xG
  • Possession46%54%Beijing Guoan 46%, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 54%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersBeijing Guoan 4 corners, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 4 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls20 foulsBeijing Guoan 20 fouls, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Beijing Guoan
0Draws
1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Beijing Guoan · Super League0–1
Beijing Guoan — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League2–1
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Beijing Guoan · Super League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Beijing Guoan favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Beijing Guoan20 matchesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang20 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.9 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.3 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/200.93 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots20/2010 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.1 shots/match
58.9% ●Possession20/2046.3%
6.55 corners/match ●Corners20/203.6 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2014.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Aug 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBeijing GuoanHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headBeijing Guoan — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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