PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Wuhan Three Towns 4–2 Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wuhan Three Towns won 4–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.531.65
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 4–2. Recorded in this match (Wuhan Three Towns – Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang): shots 15–11, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.53–1.65, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wuhan Three Towns show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsWuhan Three Towns · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWuhan Three TownsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match10 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Wuhan Three Towns have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.2% ●PossessionWuhan Three Towns · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang46.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWuhan Three TownsHenan FC Jiuzu DukangBaseline
Possession55.2%46.6%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsWuhan Three Towns 15 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsWuhan Three Towns 7 shots, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.53 xG1.65 xGWuhan Three Towns 2.53 xG, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 1.65 xG
  • Possession48%52%Wuhan Three Towns 48%, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 52%
  • Corners0 corners9 cornersWuhan Three Towns 0 corners, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsWuhan Three Towns 8 fouls, Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wuhan Three Towns
1Draws
1Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League1–1
Wuhan Three Towns — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang · Super League1–3
Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang — Wuhan Three Towns · Super League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wuhan Three Towns favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wuhan Three Towns21 matchesHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang21 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.95 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.43 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/210.96 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.19 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession21/2146.6%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners21/213.86 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 9 Aug 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWuhan Three TownsHenan FC Jiuzu Dukang
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headWuhan Three Towns — Henan FC Jiuzu Dukang
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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