PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Qingdao Hainiu 3–2 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qingdao Hainiu won 3–2.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
1.212.06
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao Hainiu beat Chengdu Rongcheng 3–2. Recorded in this match (Qingdao Hainiu – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 11–16, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 1.21–2.06, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Qingdao Hainiu show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsQingdao Hainiu · Chengdu Rongcheng14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQingdao HainiuChengdu RongchengBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match7.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.2%PossessionQingdao Hainiu · Chengdu Rongcheng● 52.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricQingdao HainiuChengdu RongchengBaseline
Possession42.2%52.3%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsQingdao Hainiu 11 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsQingdao Hainiu 4 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG2.06 xGQingdao Hainiu 1.21 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 2.06 xG
  • Possession39%61%Qingdao Hainiu 39%, Chengdu Rongcheng 61%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersQingdao Hainiu 2 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsQingdao Hainiu 15 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Qingdao Hainiu
0Draws
1Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao Hainiu favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao Hainiu20 matchesChengdu Rongcheng20 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.54 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.95 shots/match
42.2%Possession20/20● 52.3%
3.85 corners/matchCorners20/20● 5.25 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Aug 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao HainiuChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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