PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Beijing Guoan 3–2 Meizhou Hakka · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Beijing Guoan won 3–2.

Shots
215
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.620.91
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Beijing Guoan beat Meizhou Hakka 3–2. Recorded in this match (Beijing Guoan – Meizhou Hakka): shots 21–5, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.62–0.91, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Beijing Guoan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Beijing Guoan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Beijing Guoan have a visible home split

moderate

Beijing Guoan's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Beijing Guoan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Beijing Guoan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBeijing Guoan · Meizhou Hakka8.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeijing GuoanMeizhou HakkaBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match8.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots5 shotsBeijing Guoan 21 shots, Meizhou Hakka 5 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsBeijing Guoan 9 shots, Meizhou Hakka 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG0.91 xGBeijing Guoan 1.62 xG, Meizhou Hakka 0.91 xG
  • Possession68%32%Beijing Guoan 68%, Meizhou Hakka 32%
  • Corners10 corners0 cornersBeijing Guoan 10 corners, Meizhou Hakka 0 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsBeijing Guoan 18 fouls, Meizhou Hakka 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Beijing Guoan
3Draws
1Meizhou Hakka
Meizhou Hakka — Beijing Guoan · Super League3–1
Beijing Guoan — Meizhou Hakka · Super League1–1
Beijing Guoan — Meizhou Hakka · Super League0–0
Meizhou Hakka — Beijing Guoan · Super League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Beijing Guoan favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Meizhou Hakka in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Beijing Guoan11 matchesMeizhou Hakka10 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/100.8 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/101.2 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/100.96 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/108.8 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/103.3 shots/match
53% ●Possession11/1042.2%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners11/103.4 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1013.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBeijing GuoanMeizhou Hakka
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headBeijing Guoan — Meizhou Hakka
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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