PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Meizhou Hakka 1–4 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chengdu Rongcheng won 1–4.

Shots
209
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.880.88
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chengdu Rongcheng beat Meizhou Hakka 4–1. Recorded in this match (Meizhou Hakka – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 20–9, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.88–0.88, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Meizhou Hakka's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Meizhou Hakka's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Meizhou Hakka show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Meizhou Hakka's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.82 shots/match ▲ShotsMeizhou Hakka · Chengdu Rongcheng14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMeizhou HakkaChengdu RongchengBaseline
Shots9.82 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match8.67 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Meizhou Hakka have a visible home split

moderate

Meizhou Hakka's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match9.82 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsMeizhou Hakka 20 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsMeizhou Hakka 5 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.88 xG0.88 xGMeizhou Hakka 2.88 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 0.88 xG
  • Possession68%32%Meizhou Hakka 68%, Chengdu Rongcheng 32%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersMeizhou Hakka 6 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsMeizhou Hakka 18 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Meizhou Hakka
1Draws
2Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng — Meizhou Hakka · Super League3–0
Meizhou Hakka — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League3–1
Meizhou Hakka — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Meizhou Hakka · Super League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Meizhou Hakka favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Meizhou Hakka11 matchesChengdu Rongcheng12 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/12▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals11/12▲ 1.74 xG/match
9.82 shots/matchShots11/12▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.45 shots/matchShots on target11/12▲ 4.5 shots/match
44.5%Possession11/12● 55.4%
3.64 corners/matchCorners11/12● 6.83 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1213.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 May 2024, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMeizhou HakkaChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headMeizhou Hakka — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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