PitchMath
Super League · 2024

Changchun Yatai 3–2 Beijing Guoan · Super League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Changchun Yatai won 3–2.

Shots
139
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.731.59
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Changchun Yatai beat Beijing Guoan 3–2. Recorded in this match (Changchun Yatai – Beijing Guoan): shots 13–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.73–1.59, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Beijing Guoan have a visible away split

moderate

Beijing Guoan's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Beijing Guoan show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Beijing Guoan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.58 shots/match ▲ShotsChangchun Yatai · Beijing Guoan14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChangchun YataiBeijing GuoanBaseline
Shots8.58 shots/match14 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsChangchun Yatai 13 shots, Beijing Guoan 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsChangchun Yatai 6 shots, Beijing Guoan 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.59 xGChangchun Yatai 1.73 xG, Beijing Guoan 1.59 xG
  • Possession47%53%Changchun Yatai 47%, Beijing Guoan 53%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersChangchun Yatai 3 corners, Beijing Guoan 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsChangchun Yatai 15 fouls, Beijing Guoan 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Changchun Yatai
1Draws
3Beijing Guoan
Changchun Yatai — Beijing Guoan · Super League1–1
Beijing Guoan — Changchun Yatai · Super League4–3
Beijing Guoan — Changchun Yatai · Super League3–0
Changchun Yatai — Beijing Guoan · Super League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Changchun Yatai favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Beijing Guoan in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Changchun Yatai12 matchesBeijing Guoan12 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.52 xG/match
8.58 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.08 shots/match
47.8%Possession12/12● 53%
2.92 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.67 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 May 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChangchun YataiBeijing Guoan
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2024
Head-to-headChangchun Yatai — Beijing Guoan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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