Super League · 2025

Changchun Yatai 1–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1–2.

Shots
127
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.881.54
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger beat Changchun Yatai 2–1. Recorded in this match (Changchun Yatai – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger): shots 12–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.88–1.54, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have a visible away split

moderate

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.29 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.29 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.91 shots/match ▲ShotsChangchun Yatai · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChangchun YataiTianjin Jinmen TigerBaseline
Shots8.91 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Changchun Yatai's recent record differs from the season

weak

Changchun Yatai's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsChangchun Yatai 12 shots, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsChangchun Yatai 5 shots, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG1.54 xGChangchun Yatai 0.88 xG, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1.54 xG
  • Possession51%49%Changchun Yatai 51%, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 49%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersChangchun Yatai 7 corners, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsChangchun Yatai 14 fouls, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Changchun Yatai
3Draws
2Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Changchun Yatai · Super League2–2
Changchun Yatai — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League0–1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger — Changchun Yatai · Super League0–0
Changchun Yatai — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League1–1
Changchun Yatai — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · Super League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Changchun Yatai favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Changchun Yatai13 matchesTianjin Jinmen Tiger13 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals11/13▲ 1.47 xG/match
8.91 shots/matchShots11/13▲ 13.9 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/13▲ 4.85 shots/match
44.5%Possession11/13● 49.2%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/13● 5.15 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

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