PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Qingdao Hainiu 1–1 Beijing Guoan · Super League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Qingdao Hainiu and Beijing Guoan drew 1–1.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.641.78
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Qingdao Hainiu and Beijing Guoan drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Qingdao Hainiu – Beijing Guoan): shots 11–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.64–1.78, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao Hainiu's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao Hainiu's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Beijing Guoan show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Beijing Guoan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.85 shots/match ▲ShotsQingdao Hainiu · Beijing Guoan14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricQingdao HainiuBeijing GuoanBaseline
Shots9.85 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Beijing Guoan have a visible away split

moderate

Beijing Guoan's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsQingdao Hainiu 11 shots, Beijing Guoan 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsQingdao Hainiu 3 shots, Beijing Guoan 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG1.78 xGQingdao Hainiu 0.64 xG, Beijing Guoan 1.78 xG
  • Possession33%67%Qingdao Hainiu 33%, Beijing Guoan 67%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersQingdao Hainiu 1 corner, Beijing Guoan 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls19 foulsQingdao Hainiu 16 fouls, Beijing Guoan 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Qingdao Hainiu
1Draws
2Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League6–0
Qingdao Hainiu — Beijing Guoan · Super League1–1
Beijing Guoan — Qingdao Hainiu · Super League2–0
Qingdao Hainiu — Beijing Guoan · Super League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Qingdao Hainiu favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Beijing Guoan in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Qingdao Hainiu13 matchesBeijing Guoan12 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored13/12▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals13/12▲ 1.96 xG/match
9.85 shots/matchShots13/12▲ 14.3 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on target13/12▲ 5.67 shots/match
44.5%Possession13/12● 63.8%
3.15 corners/matchCorners13/12● 5.17 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsQingdao HainiuBeijing Guoan
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headQingdao Hainiu — Beijing Guoan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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