PitchMath
Super League · 2025

Chengdu Rongcheng 1–1 Qingdao West Coast · Super League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chengdu Rongcheng and Qingdao West Coast drew 1–1.

Shots
214
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.390.67
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chengdu Rongcheng and Qingdao West Coast drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Chengdu Rongcheng – Qingdao West Coast): shots 21–4, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.39–0.67, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Qingdao West Coast's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Qingdao West Coast's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chengdu Rongcheng show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Chengdu Rongcheng's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsChengdu Rongcheng · Qingdao West Coast10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengQingdao West CoastBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.31 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionChengdu Rongcheng · Qingdao West Coast46.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChengdu RongchengQingdao West CoastBaseline
Possession55.4%46.8%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots4 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 21 shots, Qingdao West Coast 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsChengdu Rongcheng 6 shots, Qingdao West Coast 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG0.67 xGChengdu Rongcheng 2.39 xG, Qingdao West Coast 0.67 xG
  • Possession60%40%Chengdu Rongcheng 60%, Qingdao West Coast 40%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersChengdu Rongcheng 11 corners, Qingdao West Coast 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsChengdu Rongcheng 14 fouls, Qingdao West Coast 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Chengdu Rongcheng
1Draws
0Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao West Coast — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–1
Chengdu Rongcheng — Qingdao West Coast · Super League7–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chengdu Rongcheng favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Qingdao West Coast in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chengdu Rongcheng13 matchesQingdao West Coast12 matches
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/121.67 goals/match
0.62 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/121.83 goals/match
2.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/121.56 xG/match
18.6 shots/match ▲Shots13/1210.1 shots/match
6.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/123.33 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession13/1246.8%
6.46 corners/match ●Corners13/124.08 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1214 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChengdu RongchengQingdao West Coast
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2025
Head-to-headChengdu Rongcheng — Qingdao West Coast
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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