PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Nizhny Novgorod 0–3 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 0–3.

Shots
615
Shots on target
06
Expected goals
0.61.85
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3–0. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 6–15, shots on target 0–6, expected goals 0.6–1.85, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPari Nizhny Novgorod · Zenit St. Petersburg19.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPari Nizhny NovgorodZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match19.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match7.08 shots/match14.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.8%PossessionPari Nizhny Novgorod · Zenit St. Petersburg● 61.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPari Nizhny NovgorodZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession46.8%61.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsNizhny Novgorod 6 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots6 shotsNizhny Novgorod 0 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG1.85 xGNizhny Novgorod 0.6 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.85 xG
  • Possession39%61%Nizhny Novgorod 39%, Zenit St. Petersburg 61%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersNizhny Novgorod 6 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls6 foulsNizhny Novgorod 13 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod13 matchesZenit St. Petersburg13 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.77 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.38 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals13/10▲ 2.34 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 19.2 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 7 shots/match
46.8%Possession13/13● 61.8%
3.54 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.38 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls13/137 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Oct 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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