PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Ural Yekaterinburg 2–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ural Yekaterinburg won 2–1.

Shots
167
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
3.150.76
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ural Yekaterinburg beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ural Yekaterinburg – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 16–7, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 3.15–0.76, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ural Yekaterinburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 16 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotUral Yekaterinburg 5 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.15 xG0.76 xGUral Yekaterinburg 3.15 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 0.76 xG
  • Possession57%43%Ural Yekaterinburg 57%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 43%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerUral Yekaterinburg 7 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls7 foulsUral Yekaterinburg 7 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ural Yekaterinburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ural Yekaterinburg14 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara14 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.07 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.71 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots14/1414.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5.07 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession14/1447.5%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners14/144.57 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls14/147.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Oct 2022, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUral YekaterinburgKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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