Premier League · 2022

CSKA Moscow 1–0 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
0.930.68
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 11–12, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 0.93–0.68, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.65 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · Zenit St. Petersburg18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots15 shots/match18.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match7.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionCSKA Moscow · Zenit St. Petersburg● 63%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession48.8%63%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsCSKA Moscow 11 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotCSKA Moscow 7 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.68 xGCSKA Moscow 0.93 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 0.68 xG
  • Possession36%64%CSKA Moscow 36%, Zenit St. Petersburg 64%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersCSKA Moscow 7 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsCSKA Moscow 13 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CSKA Moscow
0Draws
1Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow20 matchesZenit St. Petersburg20 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.65 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals19/15▲ 2.19 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 18.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 7.05 shots/match
48.8%Possession20/20● 63%
5.3 corners/matchCorners20/20● 6.25 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls20/206.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Mar 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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