PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FK Krasnodar 3–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 3–1.

Shots
711
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.951.46
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3–1. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 7–11, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.95–1.46, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.9% ●PossessionFK Krasnodar · Pari Nizhny Novgorod43.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession56.9%43.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots11 shotsFK Krasnodar 7 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsFK Krasnodar 4 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG1.46 xGFK Krasnodar 1.95 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.46 xG
  • Possession59%41%FK Krasnodar 59%, Nizhny Novgorod 41%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersFK Krasnodar 1 corner, Nizhny Novgorod 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsFK Krasnodar 11 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FK Krasnodar
0Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar22 matchesNizhny Novgorod22 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.09 goals/match
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/222 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/211.16 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots22/2110.5 shots/match
5.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/213.38 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession22/2143.5%
4.09 corners/match ●Corners22/213.81 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/2112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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