PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–2 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 1–2.

Shots
821
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.832.21
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Lokomotiv Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 8–21, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.83–2.21, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Lokomotiv Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · Zenit St. Petersburg18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match18.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match7.14 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Lokomotiv Moscow have a visible home split

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots21 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 8 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 21 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 1 shot, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG2.21 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.83 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 2.21 xG
  • Possession43%57%Lokomotiv Moscow 43%, Zenit St. Petersburg 57%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 3 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 12 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lokomotiv Moscow
0Draws
1Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League5–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow22 matchesZenit St. Petersburg22 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.59 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals22/17▲ 2.19 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 18.8 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 6.91 shots/match
49.6%Possession22/22● 62.8%
4.41 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.5 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls22/227.05 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Apr 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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