PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Dynamo Moscow 0–2 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh won 0–2.

Shots
207
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.711.46
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh beat Dynamo Moscow 2–0. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Fakel Voronezh): shots 20–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.71–1.46, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fakel Voronezh have a visible away split

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.92 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.92 shots/match11.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsDynamo Moscow 20 shots, Fakel Voronezh 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsDynamo Moscow 6 shots, Fakel Voronezh 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG1.46 xGDynamo Moscow 1.71 xG, Fakel Voronezh 1.46 xG
  • Possession69%31%Dynamo Moscow 69%, Fakel Voronezh 31%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersDynamo Moscow 6 corners, Fakel Voronezh 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsDynamo Moscow 13 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow25 matchesFakel Voronezh25 matches
1.72 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.24 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.8 goals/match
1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/241.28 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots25/2511.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target25/254.28 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession25/2542.7%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners25/253.96 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Apr 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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