PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 1–1.

Shots
127
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.710.63
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 12–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.71–0.63, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv Moscow have a visible away split

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsKrylya Sovetov Samara · Lokomotiv Moscow12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraLokomotiv MoscowBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 12 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 3 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.63 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 0.71 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.63 xG
  • Possession45%55%Krylya Sovetov Samara 45%, Lokomotiv Moscow 55%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 7 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 9 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Krylya Sovetov Samara
1Draws
0Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara27 matchesLokomotiv Moscow27 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.7 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.59 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals25/271.72 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots27/2712.3 shots/match
5.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.56 shots/match
48.3%Possession27/27● 49.5%
5.37 corners/match ●Corners27/274.04 corners/match
8 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 May 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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