PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FK Krasnodar 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 1–0.

Shots
78
Shots on target
10
Expected goals
1.310.86
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1–0. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 7–8, shots on target 1–0, expected goals 1.31–0.86, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

55% ●PossessionFK Krasnodar · Pari Nizhny Novgorod39.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession55%39.7%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots8 shotsFK Krasnodar 7 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot0 shotsFK Krasnodar 1 shot, Nizhny Novgorod 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.86 xGFK Krasnodar 1.31 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.86 xG
  • Possession60%40%FK Krasnodar 60%, Nizhny Novgorod 40%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerFK Krasnodar 11 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsFK Krasnodar 12 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FK Krasnodar
0Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
FK Krasnodar — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–1
Nizhny Novgorod — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar3 matchesNizhny Novgorod3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31 goal/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.58 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots3/37 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/31.67 shots/match
55% ●Possession3/339.7%
7 corners/match ●Corners3/31.67 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Aug 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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